{
  "schema_version": 1,
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      "research_note": "EA25004 includes through 2025; investigate the actual idle-stop symptom and configuration."
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          {
            "county": "Sierra",
            "vehicles": 2
          },
          {
            "county": "Plumas",
            "vehicles": 1
          },
          {
            "county": "Trinity",
            "vehicles": 1
          }
        ]
      }
    },
    {
      "make": "Tesla",
      "model": "Model Y",
      "sales_2026_ytd": {
        "california_total": 83936,
        "out_of_state": 136,
        "counties": [
          {
            "county": "Los Angeles",
            "vehicles": 19238
          },
          {
            "county": "Orange",
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          {
            "county": "Santa Clara",
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          {
            "county": "San Diego",
            "vehicles": 6411
          },
          {
            "county": "Alameda",
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          {
            "county": "San Bernardino",
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          {
            "county": "Contra Costa",
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          },
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            "county": "San Mateo",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Sacramento",
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          },
          {
            "county": "San Francisco",
            "vehicles": 1920
          },
          {
            "county": "Ventura",
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          },
          {
            "county": "San Joaquin",
            "vehicles": 1424
          },
          {
            "county": "Placer",
            "vehicles": 1203
          },
          {
            "county": "Fresno",
            "vehicles": 867
          },
          {
            "county": "Solano",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Marin",
            "vehicles": 701
          },
          {
            "county": "Kern",
            "vehicles": 667
          },
          {
            "county": "Sonoma",
            "vehicles": 587
          },
          {
            "county": "Santa Barbara",
            "vehicles": 538
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          {
            "county": "Stanislaus",
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          },
          {
            "county": "San Luis Obispo",
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          {
            "county": "Monterey",
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          {
            "county": "El Dorado",
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            "county": "Yolo",
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          {
            "county": "Santa Cruz",
            "vehicles": 252
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          {
            "county": "Tulare",
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          {
            "county": "Napa",
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            "county": "Merced",
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          {
            "county": "Madera",
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          {
            "county": "Butte",
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          {
            "county": "San Benito",
            "vehicles": 115
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          {
            "county": "Shasta",
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          {
            "county": "Nevada",
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          {
            "county": "Sutter",
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          {
            "county": "Imperial",
            "vehicles": 80
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          {
            "county": "Yuba",
            "vehicles": 78
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          {
            "county": "Kings",
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          {
            "county": "Mendocino",
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            "county": "Humboldt",
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          {
            "county": "Calaveras",
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            "county": "Amador",
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          {
            "county": "Tehama",
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            "county": "Lake",
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          {
            "county": "Tuolumne",
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            "county": "Siskiyou",
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          {
            "county": "Glenn",
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            "county": "Lassen",
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          {
            "county": "Mono",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Colusa",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Del Norte",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Inyo",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Plumas",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Mariposa",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Trinity",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Alpine",
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        ]
      },
      "population_2025": {
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        "out_of_state": 1677,
        "counties": [
          {
            "county": "Los Angeles",
            "vehicles": 119861
          },
          {
            "county": "Orange",
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            "county": "Santa Clara",
            "vehicles": 56080
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          {
            "county": "San Diego",
            "vehicles": 43674
          },
          {
            "county": "Alameda",
            "vehicles": 35787
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            "county": "Contra Costa",
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          {
            "county": "Sacramento",
            "vehicles": 17497
          },
          {
            "county": "San Mateo",
            "vehicles": 16812
          },
          {
            "county": "San Francisco",
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            "vehicles": 10411
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          {
            "county": "San Joaquin",
            "vehicles": 9352
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          {
            "county": "Fresno",
            "vehicles": 4676
          },
          {
            "county": "Solano",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Marin",
            "vehicles": 4496
          },
          {
            "county": "Sonoma",
            "vehicles": 3987
          },
          {
            "county": "Santa Barbara",
            "vehicles": 3309
          },
          {
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            "county": "El Dorado",
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          {
            "county": "Santa Cruz",
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            "county": "Butte",
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            "county": "Yuba",
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          },
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            "county": "Imperial",
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          },
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            "county": "Mendocino",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Amador",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Calaveras",
            "vehicles": 144
          },
          {
            "county": "Tehama",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Siskiyou",
            "vehicles": 71
          },
          {
            "county": "Glenn",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Inyo",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Mariposa",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Mono",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Colusa",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Plumas",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Del Norte",
            "vehicles": 24
          },
          {
            "county": "Lassen",
            "vehicles": 18
          },
          {
            "county": "Trinity",
            "vehicles": 17
          },
          {
            "county": "Sierra",
            "vehicles": 11
          },
          {
            "county": "Alpine",
            "vehicles": 10
          },
          {
            "county": "Modoc",
            "vehicles": 5
          }
        ]
      }
    },
    {
      "make": "Kia",
      "model": "EV6",
      "sales_2026_ytd": {
        "california_total": 1874,
        "out_of_state": 2,
        "counties": [
          {
            "county": "Los Angeles",
            "vehicles": 575
          },
          {
            "county": "San Diego",
            "vehicles": 206
          },
          {
            "county": "Orange",
            "vehicles": 178
          },
          {
            "county": "Santa Clara",
            "vehicles": 169
          },
          {
            "county": "Alameda",
            "vehicles": 103
          },
          {
            "county": "Riverside",
            "vehicles": 90
          },
          {
            "county": "Sacramento",
            "vehicles": 82
          },
          {
            "county": "San Bernardino",
            "vehicles": 66
          },
          {
            "county": "San Mateo",
            "vehicles": 53
          },
          {
            "county": "Contra Costa",
            "vehicles": 47
          },
          {
            "county": "San Francisco",
            "vehicles": 30
          },
          {
            "county": "Ventura",
            "vehicles": 30
          },
          {
            "county": "Marin",
            "vehicles": 29
          },
          {
            "county": "Placer",
            "vehicles": 27
          },
          {
            "county": "San Joaquin",
            "vehicles": 25
          },
          {
            "county": "Solano",
            "vehicles": 25
          },
          {
            "county": "Sonoma",
            "vehicles": 20
          },
          {
            "county": "Stanislaus",
            "vehicles": 20
          },
          {
            "county": "Santa Barbara",
            "vehicles": 15
          },
          {
            "county": "San Luis Obispo",
            "vehicles": 13
          },
          {
            "county": "Yolo",
            "vehicles": 12
          },
          {
            "county": "Fresno",
            "vehicles": 9
          },
          {
            "county": "Santa Cruz",
            "vehicles": 9
          },
          {
            "county": "El Dorado",
            "vehicles": 6
          },
          {
            "county": "Nevada",
            "vehicles": 6
          },
          {
            "county": "Merced",
            "vehicles": 4
          },
          {
            "county": "Monterey",
            "vehicles": 4
          },
          {
            "county": "Kern",
            "vehicles": 3
          },
          {
            "county": "Napa",
            "vehicles": 3
          },
          {
            "county": "Tulare",
            "vehicles": 3
          },
          {
            "county": "Humboldt",
            "vehicles": 2
          },
          {
            "county": "Imperial",
            "vehicles": 2
          },
          {
            "county": "Shasta",
            "vehicles": 2
          },
          {
            "county": "Butte",
            "vehicles": 1
          },
          {
            "county": "Glenn",
            "vehicles": 1
          },
          {
            "county": "Lake",
            "vehicles": 1
          },
          {
            "county": "Mendocino",
            "vehicles": 1
          },
          {
            "county": "San Benito",
            "vehicles": 1
          },
          {
            "county": "Yuba",
            "vehicles": 1
          }
        ]
      },
      "population_2025": {
        "california_total": 17098,
        "out_of_state": 102,
        "counties": [
          {
            "county": "Los Angeles",
            "vehicles": 4643
          },
          {
            "county": "San Diego",
            "vehicles": 1866
          },
          {
            "county": "Orange",
            "vehicles": 1569
          },
          {
            "county": "Santa Clara",
            "vehicles": 1244
          },
          {
            "county": "Riverside",
            "vehicles": 945
          },
          {
            "county": "Alameda",
            "vehicles": 881
          },
          {
            "county": "San Mateo",
            "vehicles": 880
          },
          {
            "county": "Sacramento",
            "vehicles": 676
          },
          {
            "county": "San Bernardino",
            "vehicles": 554
          },
          {
            "county": "Contra Costa",
            "vehicles": 477
          },
          {
            "county": "Ventura",
            "vehicles": 370
          },
          {
            "county": "San Francisco",
            "vehicles": 324
          },
          {
            "county": "Sonoma",
            "vehicles": 291
          },
          {
            "county": "Marin",
            "vehicles": 275
          },
          {
            "county": "Placer",
            "vehicles": 228
          },
          {
            "county": "San Joaquin",
            "vehicles": 218
          },
          {
            "county": "Fresno",
            "vehicles": 158
          },
          {
            "county": "Santa Barbara",
            "vehicles": 134
          },
          {
            "county": "Solano",
            "vehicles": 132
          },
          {
            "county": "San Luis Obispo",
            "vehicles": 128
          },
          {
            "county": "Kern",
            "vehicles": 123
          },
          {
            "county": "Stanislaus",
            "vehicles": 121
          },
          {
            "county": "Santa Cruz",
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          },
          {
            "county": "Yolo",
            "vehicles": 93
          },
          {
            "county": "El Dorado",
            "vehicles": 89
          },
          {
            "county": "Monterey",
            "vehicles": 68
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          {
            "county": "Napa",
            "vehicles": 63
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          {
            "county": "Tulare",
            "vehicles": 55
          },
          {
            "county": "Shasta",
            "vehicles": 44
          },
          {
            "county": "Merced",
            "vehicles": 43
          },
          {
            "county": "Humboldt",
            "vehicles": 38
          },
          {
            "county": "Nevada",
            "vehicles": 33
          },
          {
            "county": "Imperial",
            "vehicles": 32
          },
          {
            "county": "Yuba",
            "vehicles": 27
          },
          {
            "county": "Butte",
            "vehicles": 23
          },
          {
            "county": "Madera",
            "vehicles": 22
          },
          {
            "county": "Kings",
            "vehicles": 17
          },
          {
            "county": "Mendocino",
            "vehicles": 17
          },
          {
            "county": "Sutter",
            "vehicles": 15
          },
          {
            "county": "San Benito",
            "vehicles": 14
          },
          {
            "county": "Calaveras",
            "vehicles": 9
          },
          {
            "county": "Tehama",
            "vehicles": 7
          },
          {
            "county": "Amador",
            "vehicles": 5
          },
          {
            "county": "Siskiyou",
            "vehicles": 4
          },
          {
            "county": "Trinity",
            "vehicles": 4
          },
          {
            "county": "Alpine",
            "vehicles": 3
          },
          {
            "county": "Del Norte",
            "vehicles": 3
          },
          {
            "county": "Lake",
            "vehicles": 3
          },
          {
            "county": "Mariposa",
            "vehicles": 3
          },
          {
            "county": "Tuolumne",
            "vehicles": 3
          },
          {
            "county": "Colusa",
            "vehicles": 2
          },
          {
            "county": "Plumas",
            "vehicles": 2
          },
          {
            "county": "Glenn",
            "vehicles": 1
          },
          {
            "county": "Lassen",
            "vehicles": 1
          },
          {
            "county": "Mono",
            "vehicles": 1
          },
          {
            "county": "Sierra",
            "vehicles": 1
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  ],
  "locality_coverage": {
    "reports": 8368,
    "verified": 7697,
    "conflicting": 0,
    "missing": 0
  },
  "dmv_quarantined_rows": 678982,
  "relationships": [
    {
      "id": "honda-idle-stop",
      "relationship": "Documented expansion for investigation",
      "title": "Honda idle-stop: an explicit bridge to newer years",
      "earlier_evidence": "A signed May 20, 2026 order approves the idle-stop settlement for specified 2015–2021 Honda/Acura vehicles with an NP0 engine, nine-speed automatic and AIS. Relief includes repair changes and eligible reimbursements. Honda admits no wrongdoing; this is not an individual buyback-value benchmark.",
      "newer_evidence": "NHTSA EA25004 explicitly expands to newer, substantially similar vehicles, listing Pilot, Odyssey, Passport, Ridgeline, TLX and MDX through 2025. ODI reports continued complaints after campaign countermeasures. The retained investigation table has no closure date.",
      "qualification": "Investigate actual no-restart symptoms, configuration and failed repairs in newer vehicles. Odyssey and 2025 vehicles are outside this settlement class. Older class vehicles need release/opt-out review; the past-cost deadline has passed. A shared investigation does not establish the same root cause or predict success.",
      "source_ids": [
        "honda-ea",
        "honda-final",
        "honda-settlement"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ford-transmission",
      "relationship": "Different documented mechanism",
      "title": "F-150: keep the newer defect separate",
      "earlier_evidence": "The 2022 F-150 firm page reports a $165,000 offer, with acceptance and payment unverified. The older 10R80 bulletin has a specific non-hybrid model-year/build scope. Its application to the reported offer vehicle was not verified.",
      "newer_evidence": "Recall 25V164 includes specified 2024–2025 F-150s with an incorrectly machined valve body. Its 269 potential units cover all listed models nationally, not 269 F-150s or California vehicles. This differs from the older CDF-sleeve problem.",
      "qualification": "Use a separate configuration/VIN inquiry. The newer evidence does not transfer the older offer amount or prove that a 2025–2026 F-150 shares the older defect.",
      "source_ids": [
        "ford-offer",
        "ford-old",
        "ford-new"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ioniq-recall-scope",
      "relationship": "Narrow newer recall, different mechanism",
      "title": "IONIQ 5: 2025–2026 needs its own evidence",
      "earlier_evidence": "ICCU recall 24V868 lists specified 2022–2024 IONIQ 5 vehicles. A complaint about a newer model does not extend that campaign.",
      "newer_evidence": "Recall 26V068 separately covers 21 specific 2025–2026 IONIQ 5 vehicles and six IONIQ 9s nationally. It concerns under-tightened high-voltage battery busbar bolts after rework. The filing reported no field incidents at that time.",
      "qualification": "Check the narrow VIN/build scope and repair history. Do not attribute all 65 recent California 2025 IONIQ 5 reports to this recall or describe it as ICCU carryover.",
      "source_ids": [
        "ioniq-old",
        "ioniq-new"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "kia-scope",
      "relationship": "Verified year/build boundary",
      "title": "Kia piston rings: extend only as far as the document",
      "earlier_evidence": "The reviewed pilot includes a firm-reported 2021 Seltos verdict. Its VIN and precise root-cause match to the recall were not verified.",
      "newer_evidence": "Kia recall 25V099 lists specified 2021–2023 Seltos and Soul vehicles with 2.0L Nu MPI engines and constrained production dates. The document describes a piston-ring quality issue and subsequent engine-supplier changes.",
      "qualification": "A scoped 2023 research cohort may be justified. This document does not support applying the same issue to 2025–2026 Kia vehicles or transferring a past verdict amount.",
      "source_ids": [
        "kia-verdict",
        "kia-new"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "nhtsa-complaints",
      "label": "NHTSA complaints",
      "url": "https://static.nhtsa.gov/odi/ffdd/cmpl/FLAT_CMPL.zip",
      "scope": "Retained October 28, 2026 snapshot; distinct ODI IDs by California consumer state, received-date windows. Counts cover all reported problems."
    },
    {
      "id": "cec-sales",
      "label": "CEC new ZEV sales workbook",
      "url": "https://www.energy.ca.gov/filebrowser/download/10036?fid=10036",
      "scope": "As of September 30, 2026; preliminary 2026 quarters. County × make × model × fuel × sales year/quarter; no vehicle model year. ZIP × fuel is a separate marginal."
    },
    {
      "id": "cec-population",
      "label": "CEC vehicle population workbook",
      "url": "https://www.energy.ca.gov/filebrowser/download/9606?fid=9606",
      "scope": "On-road population at December 31, 2025, workbook updated April 28, 2026. County × model detail for ZEVs; no vehicle model year."
    },
    {
      "id": "cec-method",
      "label": "CEC methods and dates",
      "url": "https://www.energy.ca.gov/data-reports/energy-almanac/zero-emission-vehicle-and-infrastructure-statistics-collection/new-zev",
      "scope": "Sales inferred from registrations, mileage and transaction characteristics. Geography uses mailing address. Sales and population differ."
    },
    {
      "id": "dmv-catalog",
      "label": "DMV fuel-count catalog",
      "url": "https://data.ca.gov/@california-department-of-motor-vehicles/vehicle-fuel-type-count-by-zip-code",
      "scope": "Resource catalog label 1/1/2026 conflicts with the acquired CSV: every row says 12/31/2024. Quarantined from current exposure. Make/model-year/fuel/duty/ZIP only, no model name."
    },
    {
      "id": "honda-ea",
      "label": "NHTSA EA25004 opening",
      "url": "https://static.nhtsa.gov/odi/inv/2025/INOA-EA25004-10033.pdf",
      "scope": "March 26, 2025; both pages read. Broader newer-year engineering investigation, not a finding of defect or lemon-law eligibility. No closure date in retained October 28 investigation table."
    },
    {
      "id": "honda-final",
      "label": "Honda signed final approval order",
      "url": "https://www.settlement-claims.com/autoidlestop/asset/In%20re%20Honda%20Idle%20Stop%20Litigation%20-%20Final%20Order%20Approving%20Class%20Action%20Settlement%20and%20Certifying%20Settlement%20Class.pdf",
      "scope": "Signed May 20, 2026; all 14 pages read. Paragraphs 3 and 17–23 define class configuration and releases, with specified exceptions. Paragraph 28 disclaims admission; fees reserved in paragraph 30."
    },
    {
      "id": "honda-settlement",
      "label": "Honda settlement terms and dates",
      "url": "https://www.settlement-claims.com/autoidlestop/",
      "scope": "Benefits include repair-procedure changes, defined extensions and eligible reimbursements. Past-cost claim deadline August 18, 2026 has passed. Later expense and warranty terms require separate review. Stale header date retained as a source inconsistency."
    },
    {
      "id": "ford-old",
      "label": "Ford TSB 24-2254",
      "url": "https://static.nhtsa.gov/odi/tsbs/2024/MC-11006772-0001.pdf",
      "scope": "Specified 2021–2022 non-hybrid F-150 10R80 build scope. Prior research read first 12 of 17 pages, including applicability; exact VIN/configuration must be checked."
    },
    {
      "id": "ford-offer",
      "label": "2022 F-150 offer report",
      "url": "https://knightlaw.com/2024/06/27/ford-f150-10-speed-transmission-lemon-law-settlement-offer/",
      "scope": "Firm-reported $165,000 offer. Acceptance, payment and exact root-cause match to a bulletin were not verified."
    },
    {
      "id": "ford-new",
      "label": "Ford recall 25V164",
      "url": "https://static.nhtsa.gov/odi/rcl/2025/RCAK-25V164-9302.pdf",
      "scope": "Both pages read. Specified 2024–2025 vehicles, incorrectly machined valve body, 269 potential units across all listed models nationally. Not the older CDF-sleeve mechanism."
    },
    {
      "id": "ioniq-old",
      "label": "ICCU recall 24V868",
      "url": "https://static.nhtsa.gov/odi/rcl/2024/RCLRPT-24V868-6505.PDF",
      "scope": "Specified 2022–2024 IONIQ 5 and 2023–2025 IONIQ 6. Does not add 2025 IONIQ 5 to this campaign."
    },
    {
      "id": "ioniq-new",
      "label": "Hyundai recall 26V068",
      "url": "https://static.nhtsa.gov/odi/rcl/2026/RCLRPT-26V068-2387.pdf",
      "scope": "All five pages read. 21 specified 2025–2026 IONIQ 5 plus six IONIQ 9, 27 total nationally. Busbar bolt rework defect; distinct from ICCU. No incidents reported as of filing, not a current lifetime safety claim."
    },
    {
      "id": "kia-new",
      "label": "Kia recall 25V099",
      "url": "https://static.nhtsa.gov/odi/rcl/2025/RCLRPT-25V099-7174.PDF",
      "scope": "All four pages read. Specific 2021–2023 Soul/Seltos 2.0L Nu MPI engines and build dates, not current-year Kia models generally."
    },
    {
      "id": "kia-verdict",
      "label": "2021 Seltos firm-reported verdict",
      "url": "https://knightlaw.com/2024/05/24/knight-law-group-exposes-kias-conduct-lemon-law-victory/",
      "scope": "Selected historical result; no verified VIN/root-cause match to the recall. The prior pilot retains an itemized-cost discrepancy and unverified payment/finality."
    }
  ],
  "campaign_status": "research_only_no_campaign_launched",
  "expected_cpc": null,
  "observed_signed_case_lift": null,
  "predicted_case_success": null,
  "predicted_recovery": null,
  "model_year_defect_rate": null,
  "geography_grain": "CEC county-by-model; all vehicle model years. ZIP-by-fuel is a separate table, without model. No joint model-by-ZIP inference.",
  "geography_warning": "CEC sales and on-road population are dated market footprints, not matched exposure for complaint model-year cohorts. County is mailing address. Out-of-state labels excluded from California totals.",
  "selection": "Top 20 model-year 2024–2026 cohorts by recent raw CA count, plus 2024 F-150 and 2026 IONIQ 5 for scoped document review. Not a buying or case-value ranking."
}